Technocracy - Patrick Wood
Uploaded on Jul 14, 2011 Patrick Wood, Editor of August Forcast & Review http://www.augustreview.com presents a 40 minute presentation on "Technocracy" at the Eagle Forum Convension, Saturday June 18, 2011UCgL_0sMDvxKEzpHhn9KU8Cg/playlists > Technocracy - Patrick Wood
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His argument about classical vs modern technocracy is good but then he elaborately demonstrates that he doesn't understand technocracy by doing precisely that what Technocracy aimed to prevent: Constructing nifty talking points that are not anchored on actual data.
#23:34 The solar talking point. I'm not saying someone who doesn't know anything about a technology should not have an opinion, politicians do this all the time. The point of technocracy is to have real data then arrive at a conclusion using that. This certainly leaves room for bureaucracy but it will be nowhere as elaborate as imaginary statistics.
50 000 dollar to put solar on your house is the politicians way of just slapping a price on something to support their argument. Things just aren't that simple.
1) He is talking about petrodollars, dollars anchored onto a global political and economic situation that changes all the time.
2) The price of solar in 2011 is not set in stone, technology develops and scale does matter.
3) Solar costs about 70 cents per watt. 50000 / 0.7 = 71.4 kilo watt . Average annual electricity consumption for the U.S. customer in 2012 was 10,837 kWh or 903 kWh per month. At 4 hours of sunlight per day or 120 hours per month, 71 kwh is 8520 kwh. Times 12 is 102 240 kwh.
Total US electricity consumption was 3.886 trillion kWh The federal budget is 3.9 trillion usd. 4 hours of light for 365 days equals 1460 hours.
At 70 cents, converting the entire US to solar would cost 1 / 2085 of the federal budget. Or 0.04796163% of it.
But it wont just be 4 hours per day and it wont be 70 cents on that scale and converting the entire US to solar is not desirable or even necessary.
4) The real drawback of solar is the energy storage. Wood just doesn't understand the topic. He seems a nice chap but he just isn't an engineer. At #24:10 he calls flywheel storage a crackpot idea simply because he doesn't understand the numbers.
A flywheel storage system costs about 200 USD per kwh worth of storage, with minimum maintenance one should expect to get 100 000 hours out of it.
If power consumption would be stable day and night (it isn't) our (imaginary) 4 hour day would have the house hold store power for 20 hours. That is a little under 25 kwh which would cost 5000 USD and run for 5000 days.
The "crackpot idea" would therefore cost 1 USD per day.
But dont take my word for any of this, there are large numbers of trained professionals with websites who can tell you the exact science behind the topic.
The point of Technocracy, why it was so popular, was to have you wonder: What do you want for kind of facts? Do you want them from someone who spend their lives studying a topic or from someone who can brush it off the table in full blown ignorance?
I'm not exaggerating, Wood here is stitching together a story using science fiction books.
at #24:00 he mentions you can earn 3 cents per day if you are lucky. Wtih just 4 hours of sunlight that would be 0.75 cents per hour worth of pure profit! If we assume 10 cents per kwh then 0.75 cent is 0.075 kwh or 7.5 Watt. At 70 cent per Watt It would cost 5 dollars and 25 cents to buy such "installation". Nice for a wigwam? Wood wont even dance for that kind of money.
I dont plan on taking sides on the smart meter debate here. I point that out because what I write here might suggest I support that idea. This is why I point out that I have no intention to take sides. Wood keeps saying that he studied Technocracy intensely for the same reason: What he says does not suggest he knows what he is talking about.
The main arguments against smart meters are in violation of privacy and endlessly overlapping radio signals that bounce off everything, while we calculate safety levels by looking at the effect of single fields on healthy humans. Humans that have a lot more body mass than other life. There are interesting studies about people being receptive to the signals because they used lead plumbing for many years. It would be more humane to shoot them than to put all sorts of radio transmitters all around them. A mouth full of mercury or some old cooking pots might also do the trick. Even if the political talking point would be correct and these people are just overreacting, isn't it their house? Cant one overreact in their own house anymore?
The sensible conclusion would be that measuring power consumption for the whole block is more than enough to build this smart grid.
regards!